HomeMy WebLinkAboutAgenda 12-01-2025; 8-i - Approval of School Enrollment Forecasting Contract with UNC 1
ORANGE COUNTY
BOARD OF COMMISSIONERS
ACTION AGENDA ITEM ABSTRACT
Meeting Date: December 1, 2025
Action Agenda
Item No. 8-i
SUBJECT: Approval of School Enrollment Forecasting Contract with UNC
DEPARTMENT: County Manager
ATTACHMENT(S): INFORMATION CONTACT:
Attachment 1. Enrollment Forecast Kirk Vaughn, (919) 245-2153
Contract
PURPOSE: To approve an intergovernmental agreement with UNC for the Carolina Population
Center's Carolina Demography to conduct an enrollment forecast for both school districts.
BACKGROUND: Over the past two (2) years, the School Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance
Technical Advisory Committee (SAPFOTAC), a technical advisory committee representing the
County, the Towns of Chapel Hill, Carrboro, Hillsborough, Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools and
Orange County Schools, have discussed making improvements to the School Adequate Public
Facilities Ordinance (SAPFO) enrollment projections, based on commonly identified limitations
of the process.
At the December 10, 2024 Business meeting, the Board of Commissioners authorized staff to
provide notice to the parties of the SAPFO Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) that the
student projection methodology would be changed to be one employed by Operations Research
and Education Laboratory (OREd) or Carolina Demography. On March 16, 2025, the SAPFOTAC
held its annual meeting, and received presentations from both consultants. The six (6) entities
voted unanimously to recommend Carolina Demography to provide future enrollment projections.
The technical advisory committee appreciated the variety of variables that were used in Carolina
Demography's previous enrollment projections, including population estimates, births, approved
developments, and charter school enrollment. Carolina Demography currently provides
enrollment projections for Wake County and Brunswick County.
At the April 15, 2025 Business meeting, the Board of Commissioners approved the SAPFOTAC
recommendation, selecting Carolina Demography to contract with the County. The FY 2025-26
annual budget includes $36,000 in funding for the contract. County staff has been working with
the University on entering a contract, noting that the contract required Board approval as UNC is
a governmental unit. Despite the delay finalizing a contract, Carolina Demography has already
begun its work in good faith and has entered into data sharing agreements with the two school
districts. Carolina Demography still anticipates completing the analysis in January and being
available to present its results to the Board in February 2026.
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FINANCIAL IMPACT: The contract amount of $35,072 is within the $36,000 as budgeted in the
FY 2025-26 Budget.
ALIGNMENT WITH STRATEGIC PLAN: This item supports:
• GOAL 5: PUBLIC EDUCATION/LEARNING COMMUNITY
OBJECTIVE 4. Improve learning environments by investing in facilities over a 10-year
period that address repair, renovation, and educational adequacy needs.
OBJECTIVE 5. Invest in and implement a plan that supports schools operational and
facility funding needs.
RECOMMENDATION(S): The Manager recommends the Board:
1) approve the contract with UNC for the Carolina Population Center's Carolina Demography
to conduct an enrollment forecast for both school districts; and
2) authorize the Manager to sign the contract and any amendments up to the budgeted
amount.
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The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Carolina Demography—Carolina Population Center
123 W. Franklin St., Suite 210
Chapel Hill,NC 27516
Recharge Core Agreement
Client Name: Orange County, North Carolina Client Contact: Kirk Vaughn
Client Email: Client Phone:
Client Address:
Send Invoice to: (f different from above):
Not to Exceed Cost: $35,072.00 Start Date: September 2025 End Date: May, 2026
Client PO Number: Client Credit Card Number: N/A
Description of Services: Specialized Services set forth in Exhibit A.
Terms and Conditions
1) Services. The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill ("University") offers a wide range of services, including custom
population estimates and projections at the state, regional, or local level; mapping and spatial analysis; and workshops
through the Carolina Population Center's Carolina Demography Core ("Facility"). Client has instructed Facility to undertake the
specific services described above (the "Services"). In consideration of Client's payment to the Facility in accordance with the terms
stated herein,the Facility shall perform the Services. Should the Services provided under this Agreement include the provision of human
tissue or samples by Facility,Client agrees to use said human tissue or samples only for internal research and development purposes and
shall not commercialize the human tissue or samples provided. Client further agrees not to transfer said human tissue or samples to any
third party without Facility's express written permission. If Client is providing human tissue or samples to be used by Facility in
performance of the Services hereunder,Client certifies it has all necessary rights to provide Facility with said tissue or samples.
2) Reports. Facility shall provide Client with a report regarding the data obtained in the course of the Services. The report shall be
maintained as confidential pursuant to Section 3 below. Client recognizes that the results ofthe Services which do not disclose Confidential
Information provided hereunder may be deemed publishable by University, and that the University employees engaged in the Services
shall be free to publish these results, consistent with the obligations imposed in Section 3 of this Agreement.
3) Confidentiality. Any confidential or proprietary information disclosed by Client to University("Confidential Information") shall be
disclosed in writing and designated as confidential and/or proprietary, or if disclosed orally, shall be confirmed in writing and
designated confidential and/or proprietary within thirty(30) days of such disclosure. University shall use the Confidential Information
only for the purpose of this Agreement and further agrees that it will not disclose or publish such Confidential Information except
that the foregoing restrictions shall not apply to: (a) Confidential Information which is or becomes publicly known through no breach
of this agreement by University; (b) Confidential Information learned from a third party entitled to disclose such information; (c)
Confidential Information already known to or developed by University prior to receipt hereunder, or information independently
developed at any time by University personnel not privy to the Confidential Information,as shown by University's written records;or
(d) Confidential Information required to be disclosed by operation of law (including, but not limited to, the North Carolina Public
Records Act) or court order. The obligation of confidentiality imposed by this Section shall expire three (3) years following the
expiration or termination of this Agreement. University will use a reasonable degree of care to prevent the inadvertent, accidental,
unauthorized, or mistaken disclosure or use by its employees of Confidential Information. For avoidance of doubt,data,information,
results,materials,or products ofthe Services shall be considered Confidential Information for the purposes of this Agreement.
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4) Intellectual Property. It is not anticipated that intellectual property will arise in University's performance ofthe Services. However,
in the event of an invention by at least one employee of University the intellectual property shall be owned as follows: a)Inventions
which involve the use of,composition of,or improvement to Client-provided materials or information, or a derivative,analogue thereof
shall belong to Client; and b) Inventions which cover a scientific or analytical measurement process, technique, procedure, medium,
device or other process which is not unique to characterizing,testing,or fabricating Client's proprietary materials or does not derive from
Client-provided materials or Client's Confidential Information shall be owned by University.
5) Publicity. Neither party will use the name of the other party in any publicity,advertising,or news release without the prior written
approval of the authorized representative of the other party. Notwithstanding the above,University reserves the right to disseminate the
analysis or parts thereof resulting from the Services provided under this Agreement in a public forum, such as its blog, and to publish the
working relationship between Client and University for the provision of the Services related to this Agreement.
6) Termination. Either party may terminate this Agreement upon prior written notice to the other party. All reasonable costs and
non-cancelable obligations incurred by University at the time of said termination shall be reimbursed by Client. At the request of Client,
all unused Client-provided materials at the time of termination shall either be returned to Client or destroyed by University at the Client's
expense.
7) Independent Contractor. In the performance of the Services, University shall be deemed to be and shall bean independent
contractor.
8) No Warranties and Indemnity. University makes no warranties, express or implied, regarding the quality of product produced
under this Agreement. University shall use its reasonable efforts to perform the Services. University does not warrant or guarantee any
results from a given project. University shall not be liable for Client's use of the report or other information provided by University. To
the extent permitted by law,Client shall indemnify and hold harmless University against any claims and costs(including attorney's fees)
arising out of Client's commercial sale or distribution of products or processes developed under this Agreement.
9) Export Control. University will not accept export-controlled materials or technical information under this Agreement. Client
hereby represents and warrants that materials and technical information provided to University do not require any license from the U.S.
government before being exported.
10) Hazardous Materials. All materials provided by Client must be accompanied by the appropriate environmental and safety
information for those materials as required by law.
11) Governing Law. This Agreement shall be governed and construed in accordance with the laws ofthe State ofNorth Carolina.
12) Payment Terms. Net 30 days upon receipt of invoice. Checks shall be made payable to: University of North Carolina at Chapel
Hill and sent to:
Carolina Demography
123 W.Franklin St., Suite 210
Chapel Hill,NC 27516
Tax ID 56-600-1393
13) Entire Agreement.This Agreement contains the entire agreement between the parties respecting the subject matter and supersedes
or cancels all previous negotiations,agreements,commitments and writings between the parties on the subject of this Agreement. Should
processing of this Agreement require issuance of a purchase order or other contractual document, all terms and conditions of said
document are hereby deleted in entirety. This Agreement may not be amended in any manner except by an instrument in writing signed
by the duly authorized representatives of each of the parties hereto.
By Authorized Official of
The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill By Authorized Official of Client
By: By:
Name: Diane Koltz Name:
Title: Contracting Officer Title:
Date: Date:
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EXHIBIT A
The Services to be rendered pursuant to this Agreement areas follows (fully describe
services to be provided): Carolina Demography will provide a 10 year enrollment forecast
for both Orange County Schools and Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools, final report and
presentation to Board of County Commissioners.