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HomeMy WebLinkAboutSmall Area Plan 1995Stoney Creek Basin Smaff Area Plan Three Development Options : Conventional, Density - Neutral, Neo- Traditional Prepared by Students in the Department of City and Regional Planning University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Spring 1995 Stoney Creek Basin Smafl Area Plan Prepared for: Orange County Planning Department Prepared by: Planning 223 Class, Spring 1995 Department of City and Regional Planning University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Dan Baechtold Jeffrey Bandini Jeffrey Bowyer Jennifer Clinger Eric Fladager Richard Kos Donald Lang Heidi Merkel Kaoru Oka Travis Pollack Jean Robbins Shannon Sexton Ron Sissem Tracy Swagler Lauren Tedder Jennifer Zadwick Supervised b y: Professor David Godschalk Professor Philip Berke Teaching Assistant Marion Clark Acknowledgments This report has been prepared by sixteen graduate students in the Department of City and Regional Planning at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, under the direction of Dr. David Godschalk and Dr. Philip Berke, with assistance from teaching assistant Marion Clark. At the request of the Orange County Board of Commissioners, the students in the Planning 223 Land Use Workshop were given the assignment of evaluating three land use alternatives in the Stoney Creek Basin Area. The design alternatives and report are intended to assist the Stoney Creek Basin Planning Group, which was formed to prepare a small area land use plan and implementation recommendations. The Planning Group is made up of members of the Orange County Board of Commissioners, Planning Board, Economic Development Commission, and School Board, Duke Forest, Triangle Land Conservancy, and representatives from neighborhoods within the Planning Area. The formulation of the land use plan will, require further study by the Planning Group, who will also be considering two development alternatives proposed by the Orange County Planning Department. This document is intended to provide a foundation on which future plans may be based. The members of the Planning Workshop class would like to thank Professor David Godschalk, Professor Phil Berke, and Marion Clark for their guidance and assistance throughout the past semester. We would also like to thank everyone in the Orange County Planning Department who took time to assist us, including Marvin Collins for his help with many of our questions, and Miriam Coleman for quickly handling our many requests for maps. We also wish to thank David Stancil, Don Belk, Slade McCalip, Gene Bell, and Mary Willis for providing help in their areas of expertise. We would especially like to thank Randall Arendt of the Natural Lands Trust for taking time from his busy schedule to critique the development options presented in this report. We hope that this report will be useful to the staff and to the Planning Group during their small area planning process. Stoney Creek Basin Small Area Plan Executive Summary This report is the final step of the first phase of a small area planning process for a portion of Orange County, North Carolina. The report was prepared for the Stoney Creek Basin Planning Group, comprised of local officials and residents of the basin, to help the group evaluate development options for the basin. It describes three design alternatives for future development in Stoney Creek Basin. The alternatives are: a conventional development design, which would continue the subdivision patterns that presently exist in the county, an open -space or "density - neutral" design, which clusters lots so as to maximize the preservation of open space and is based on principles developed by Randall Arendt and others, and a neo- traditional, transit- oriented design, which proposes a village core focused on a rail station, utilizing concepts developed by Peter Calthorpe. The report also assesses the expected impacts of each development concept on the resources within the basin and services provided the county. The Planning Group will utilize the information in this report, together with additional information to be provided by the Orange County Planning Department in subsequent phases, to recommend a development strategy for the Stoney Creek-Basin to the Orange County Board of Commissioners in 1996. The Planning Process The report begins with a suitability analysis. The purpose of the suitability analyis is to determine which areas of the basin are suitable for development. Further, the process is used to determine the appropriateness of a given tract of land for a specified use. The report explains the decision making process for how each area of the basin is planned and the total acreage of those areas. Each design team then identified features that could create potential constraints or opportunities for their design. This analysis was facilitated by the use of the county's geographic information system which allowed for computer - generated maps to be created. In next step, each design team created conceptual maps illustrating a potential layout for future development, based on the preservation and development objectives of each alternative. The preservation objectives noted specific environmental, historic, and /or cultural features to be considered, while the development objectives focused on the design goals for the completed development. For the conventional development alternative, general. objectives included the protection of the residential character of the area, and providing density transitions from existing neighborhoods. For the density - neutral alternative, objectives included preserving 50 % of the buildable land as permanent open space and locating lots adjacent to open space to Stoney Creek Basin Small Area Plan provide views and access to natural areas. For the neo- traditional alternative, objectives included reducing automobile dependence, integrating land uses, fostering a sense of community, and providing a village center at a transit stop. Based on these objectives, each team designed conceptual maps. For the conventional development team, this process led to the creation of two scenarios. The first scenario assumes that future development will occur according to the underlying zoning of the area: one unit per acre. The second scenario assumes that future development will occur at a range of densities, with an average net density of one unit per 1.85 acres (the average density of major subdivisions within Orange County). The density - neutral team also designed a scenario based on an overall net density of one unit per 1.85 acres. Their design process involved several steps, including the identification of conservation areas and the placement of lots and a trail system to maximize access to preserved open space. The neo- traditional team used a proposed light -rail transit station as the focus of their design. A village core was sited around the transit station, consisting of commercial, office, and residential development at a net density of 22 units per acre. Residential neighborhoods were then created with densities decreasing from 7 units per acre to 1 unit per acre as distance from the core increased. Each team projected the number of new residents and dwelling units that would be generated by each design, as well as acreage by land use. The conventional development (scenario two) and density - neutral designs will create slightly less than 900 new residential units in the Stoney Creek Basin; the neo - traditional scenario will generate over 3,300 new housing units. Similarly, the conventional development and density - neutral scenarios will generate roughly 2,100 new residents while the neo - traditional scenario is expected to generate approximately 7,900 residents. These data formed the basis of the impact analysis that followed. The Impact Analysis The final phase of the project was the impact analysis. The analysis includes an assessment of the expected impacts on a number of local resources, including: • the natural and historic resources of the basin (stormwater runoff, non -point source (NPS) pollution, sedimentation, wildlife habitat, and natural character), • local water and sewer service (water service, groundwater, sewer service, and septic disposal), • the transportation network in the basin and the related impact on air quality, • the school system, • provision of public safety services, • parks facilities, and • - the fiscal impact on Orange County's budget. - - - - - - -- -- Each design scenario was analyzed in terms of these issues, and the relative impact of each is compared in a comprehensive impact analysis matrix. This format was selected to allow evaluation between designs, not to provide an absolute measure of the impact. Stoney Creek Basin Small Area Plan The conventional designs have either a low or no impact on water quality, water and sewer service, transportation and air quality and demand for new parks. They also have a medium impact on wildlife habitat and preservation of natural character, groundwater, provision of new school facilities, and the necessity to expand public safety services. Conventional development has a high impact on the historic structures of the area. It has a small positive fiscal impact. The density - neutral design has either a low or no impact on water quality, wildlife habitat and natural character, sewer service, and new park facilities. It has a medium impact on sedimentation, historic resources, pressure on school facilities, water service and groundwater, septic disposal and public safety resources. It has a small positive fiscal impact. This design has no high impacts. The neo- traditional design is the most intense of the three design options since this design accomodates more residential dwellings and more non - residential development than the other alternatives. It has high impacts on most of the elements. The exceptions are with medium impacts on transportation and low impacts on air quality, parks, groundwater, septic disposal and historic resources. It has a substantial positive fiscal impact. SLTND4ARY OF IlVOACTS Impact Conventional Stormwater runoff LOW NPS pollution LOW Sedimentation LOW Wildlife Habitat MEDIUM Natural Character MEDIUM Historic Resources HIGH Water Service LOW Groundwater MEDIUM Sewer Service NO IMPACT Septic Disposal LOW Transportation LOW Air Quality - --LOW - - - Schools MEDIUM Public Safety MEDIUM Density- Neutral Neo- traditional LOW HIGH LOW HIGH MEDIUM HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH MEDIUM LOW MEDIUM HIGH MEDIUM LOW NO IMPACT HIGH MEDIUM LOW LOW MEDIUM -LOW - - - - - LOW- -- - - - - - -- MEDIUM HIGH MEDIUM HIGH Stoney Creek Basin Small Area Plan Table of Contents Executive Summary Introduction.................... ............................... 1 Land Suitability Analysis ........... ............................... 5 Conventional Development ......... ............................... 13 DesignConcept ............... ............................... 13 Objectives .................. ............................... 14 Design Process ............... ............................... 14 Results.................... ............................... 16 Density- Neutral Development ....... ............................... 20 DesignConcept ............... ............................... 20 Objectives .................. ............................... 21 Design Process ............... ............................... 22 Results.................... ............................... 25 Neo- Traditional Development ....... ............................... 28 DesignConcept ............... ............................... 28 Objectives .................. ............................... 30 Design Process .............................................. 31 Results.................... ............................... 33 Impact Analysis ................ ............................... 36 Conclusions ................... ............................... 46 Bibliography .................. ............................... 48 Appendices................... ............................... 50 Appendix A: Natural and Historic Resources ........................... Al Appendix B: Water and Sewer ..... ............................... 131 Appendix C: Transportation ...... ............................... Cl Appendix D: Air Quality ........................................... D -1 - Appendix E: Schools ........... ............................... E1 Appendix F: Public Safety ....... ............................... F1 Appendix G: Parks ............ ............................... G1 Appendix H: Fiscal ............ ............................... H1 Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, v Tables Table 1: Conventional Development Scenarios ............................ 16 Table 2: Density Neutral Yield Analysis . ............................... 22 Table 3: Open Space vs. Developed Area in Density - Neutral Design .............. 25 Table 4: Neo- Traditional Design Development Projections .................... 33 Table 5: Baseline Data - Proposed Development Scenarios .................... 37 Table 6: Summary of Impacts ....... ............................... 38 Table 7: Calculation of Water Demand ...... .............................B2 Table 8: Calculation of Effluent Generation .............................. B3 Table 9: Morning Peak Hour Traffic Flows at Intersections .................... C3 Table 10: Capacity Conditions of Existing Intersections With Projected Traffic Flows ... C3 Table 11: Summary of Transportation Analysis Findings ..................... C4 Table 12: Summary of Traffic Mitigation Measures ......................... C5 Table 13: Projected Carbon Monoxide Emissions (NC 10 and New Hope Church Road) . D2 Table 14: Current School Capacities and Enrollments ....................... .E1 Table 15: Student Generation by Development Scenario ...................... E3 Table 16: Impacts on School Capacities . ............................... E4 Table 17: Number of New Officers Needed to Maintain Current Level of Protection .... F2 Table 18: Summary of Demands for Parks and Size of Proposed Parks ............ G3 Table 19: Summary of Size of Land Dedicated by Developers .................. G3 Table 20: Residential Fiscal Impact Analysis ............................. H2 Table 21: Non - Residential Fiscal Impact Analysis .......................... H3 Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, A Maps Map 1: North Carolina Vicinity Map .... ............................... 3 Map 2: Orange County, Vicinity Map ... ............................... 4 Map 3: Potential Planning Area ....... ............................... 7 Map 4: Natural Areas .............. ............................... 8 Map 5: Primary Constraints .......... ............................... 9 Map 6: Development Constraints Conventional Design ....................... 10 Map 7: Development Constraints Density - Neutral Design ..................... 11 Map 8: Development Constraints Neo- Traditional Design ..................... 12 Map 9: Conventional Design Scenario I . ............................... 17 Map 10: Conventional Design Scenario II ............................... 18 Map 11: Conventional Neighborhood Design ............................. 19 Map 12: Density - Neutral Design ...... ............................... 26 Map 13: Density - Neutral Neighborhood Design ............................ 27 Map 14: Neo - Traditional Design Concept ............................... 34 Map 15: Neo - Traditional Design ...... ............................... 35 Map 16: Neo - Traditional Design Perspective ............................. 36 Map 17: Neo - Traditional Design Perspective ............................. 37 Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, vii Introduction At the request of the Orange County Board of Commissioners, the students in the Planning 223 Land Use Workshop were given the assignment of evaluating three land use design alternatives in the Stoney Creek Basin Area. The design alternatives and report are intended to assist the Stoney Creek Basin Planning Group, which was formed to prepare a land use plan and implementation recommendations for a small area of the county. The 4,696 -acre Stoney Creek Basin lies within the three county area, including Orange, Durham and Wake Counties, that makes up the Triangle region in central North Carolina (see Map 1). It is located two miles southeast of the Town of Hillsborough and five miles north of the towns of Chapel Hill and Carrboro in Orange County (see Map 2). The area is bounded by Interstate 85 to the north and Interstate 40 less than one mile to the west and defined primarily by the drainage basin of Stoney Creek. The edges of the planning area were drawn to include entire properties, when lot lines extended beyond the boundary of the actual drainage basin. The county has designated two Economic Development Districts directly to the east and the west of the planning area. There are currently 795 dwelling units in the planning area: 589 are single family detached homes and 206 are mobile homes. The planning area has an estimated population of 2,135 residents as of April, 1995. The current land uses are rural residential and subdivision development, rural buffer in the southern portions, limited commercial along main roads (although there is a 33 -acre parcel zoned commercial on a secondary road), and agricultural. There are 1,999 acres available for development in the basin. Because of its proximity to existing and future employment centers and transportation, as well as the available land supply, this area is expected to grow rapidly in the near future. A small area plan is needed to manage growth in an appropriate manner, and this report .is designed to provide a foundation for such a plan. Three land use alternatives were studied by the workshop class: 1. Conventional Design Plan - based upon the use of existing zoning regulations and the continuation of current development patterns. 2. Density - Neutral Design Plan - based upon envisioning cluster development as a - strategy for the preservation of large open spaces and environmentally sensitive land,utilizing general open space design principles proposed by Randall Arendt and others as explained in Rural Rv T)esiQn (Arendt, 1994b) and Desi nin en STace Dev_elloments in 'Russex County I)f- aware (Arendt, 1993) . Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 1 3. Neo- traditional Design Plan - based upon establishing a mixed -use, rail- centered village core with surrounding, interconnected neighborhoods, and fostering a strong sense of community, utilizing principles proposed by Andres Duany, Elizabeth Plater - Zyberk, Peter Calthorpe, and others as explained in Towns and Town - Making Princides (Duany & Plater - Zyberk, 1991), The Next American Metropolis ( Calthorpe, 1993), and The Pedestrian Pocket Rook (Kelbaugh, 1989). The first part of this study consisted of creating a design concept for each of the three scenarios. A suitability analysis provided a foundation for each of the conceptual designs based on topography, vegetation, soils, surrounding land uses, roads, floodplains, and other constraints. The text describes the design concepts, objectives, and land use estimates of each proposed design plan. The accompanying maps illustrate the actual designs. The second part of this study entailed an impact assessment of each of the three scenarios. The analysis allowed the study group to explore the advantages and disadvantages of each proposal and how each might affect the surrounding area, as well as the county. The recommended strategies to mitigate the impacts are described in the appendices. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 2 cm cc y O m co Mold O i C..7 O O COD C. a cc O am cc .. v r s CL Cc O Z U a OD a> 0 U O C 'w V 0 p � U Z Cn a� J C. a cc O am cc .. v r s CL Cc O Z U a cc cm cc EMMONS cc cc ANN c C .W COD v aU a � T +' to v -o cn -v cn v m ° o c a� � � o U U•� o v v C. m m v 0 C..3 N cm Q. G R i O U wa Land Suitability Analysis A suitability analysis is a process used to determine the appropriateness of a given tract of land for a specified use. When viewed collectively, the environmental and physical features of an area- - such as the hydrology, geology, and biology- -yield insights into the types of uses suitable for a particular parcel of land. Suitability analyses can be conducted for any type of land use being considered for an area. For the purposes of this project, the suitability of land for residential uses was the primary concern. The following steps were employed in developing the suitability analysis for Stoney Creek Basin: Step 1: Map the land available for development, including: • land not included in established subdivisions • large unused parcels • parcels with minimal existing development (one building) that are at least 10 acres in size and contiguous to large undeveloped tracts. Areas unavailable for planning purposes were masked with a gray screen on the planning map (see Map 3). Using the above criteria, it was determined that 1,999 acres were available for development. Step 2: Map the various physical and environmental features to see where they are located in the area. (see Map 4).These include: • Duke Forest • Stoney Creek Step 3: Identify which of these land features may constrain development and develop a Primary Constraints Map for use by all three design groups. The primary constraints include: • Streams and ponds • 100 -year floodplains and wetlands • Steep slopes (greater than 15 %) • Natural areas and wildlife corridors • Soils unsuitable for septic systems Once all of these features were included on the Primary Constraints Map (see Map 5), the areas without any constraints were shown in white and were considered optimal for development. Step 4: Map specific development constraints and opportunities for each design group. All three design groups were concerned with general constraints such as floodplains and steep slopes. Differences between group objectives, however, required varying Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 5 degrees of focus on certain constraints. The Development Constraints Map for the conventional design group included all of the features on the Primary Constraints Map as well as power line easements and existing water and sewer lines. (see Map 6) The density- neutral design group categorized various constraints as primary and secondary conservation areas. The primary conservation areas, which would remain undeveloped, included unbuildable areas of Duke Forest, wetlands, 100 -year floodplains, alluvial soils, steep slopes and power easements. The secondary conservation areas included natural areas, wildlife corridors, historic sites, deciduous forest, and pasture /farmland. (see Map 7) The neo- traditional design, which relies more upon infrastructure extension, included all of the primary constraints except soils unsuitable for septic systems and added economic development. districts, power line easements, existing water and sewer lines, and historic sites to their constraints map. Soils unsuitable for septic systems were not included because the density of development created with a neo - traditional design would necessitate sewer and water service. (see Map 8) Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 6 . m I E a� Vj U3 QD L v7 Q _0 m CD bm C cts cc m am Q u D$� Q 9 d i 1 � . a Li OCR' ;,A r , am V ie • 9 4 ■ r 7 a ow: '�Iq.' YAW. 4. ■ A MOW D� Pk��EY�;sty+,,frs C �r C •CA 0 cc a cc .v C D 0 43 CL 43 4 4 a7kX I D to cc 02 a t: O C c 2! O E CA Cf. c r. 0 CC C-5 � a r I . . . . . . . . . . . RTI, r, r.", -W F Opw i Jw4w Ji, lip MM I R Conventional Development Design Concept The term "conventional development" refers to the type of neighborhood design that has predominated in this country since World War H. Beginning in the 1920s with the invention and spread of the automobile, people no longer needed to live near central cities or along railroad or streetcar lines. The automobile enabled those working in the cities to live in country settings farther away from the central cities. Property in these outer areas also cost less due to its distance from the economic center, allowing people to afford larger lots. The result was the eventual proliferation of these "suburbs" characterized by single - family homes on larger lots. The size of these lots enabled and even necessitated, due to the dispersion of homes, the use of on -site septic tanks and wells. Aesthetic and safety concerns in the residential areas also led to the design of curvilinear streets and the use of cul -de -sacs. The post -World War II boom saw the proliferation of these "American Dream" neighborhoods where privacy is highly valued. The concept of zoning, which arose in the mid- 1920's, called for the separation of land uses for health reasons and for the protection of property values. This complete separation from the retail and office activities in the central cities appealed to suburban residents. To protect the quality of life offered by these suburbs, local governments began implementing development guidelines including building -to -lot ratios, setback requirements, and minimum lot sizes. The resulting subdivision and zoning ordinances effectively institutionalized the development process and product, making deviation difficult. For example, the Orange County zoning ordinances set minimum lot sizes at one unit per acre. Most of the existing residential neighborhoods in the Stoney Creek Basin incorporate the basic principles of low - density, conventional development design. For instance, individual lot sizes range from one acre to over ten acres per unit. Also, existing single - family and mobile homes in the basin are served by on -site septic tanks and wells. All water supply and wastewater treatment needs of new neighborhoods will be served similarly in this scenario. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 13 Conventional Development Design Objectives Preservation Objectives • Protect sensitive natural areas, including: - wetlands - flood plains - steep slopes. • Protect the character of the area defined in part by: . - Duke Forest - the designated Rural Buffer - historic areas. • Preserve existing neighborhoods by: - avoiding undue disruptions - providing density transitions. Design Process Development Objectives • Provide a range of housing, including: - a range of densities - a range of costs. • Provide appropriate support structures, including: - a community park - roads. • Maintain the beauty and character of the area by: - ensuring that buildings are aesthetically integrated with the topography - encouraging conservation easements and dedications to preserve natural corridors - limiting development in the Rural Buffer. Two design scenarios were developed to illustrate the continued application of conventional development practices in the Stoney Creek Basin. The first scenario allows for intensive residential development in the basin in'accordance with existing zoning ordinances (see Map 9). En the second scenario, new residential development occurs at a density more consistent with that of existing subdivisions in Orange County (see Map 10). Several assumptions were made in developing the two design scenarios: • New development in areas constrained by steep slopes ( >15 %), soils unsuitable for septic tanks, floodplains, or wetlands must conform to applicable ordinances and guidelines. • Within the Rural Buffer (RB), new development will occur at a density of no more than one dwelling unit per two acres. • An allowance of 15% is made to account for that portion of available land used for new roads and infrastructure. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 14 • All new residential development will be serviced by individual water wells and septic systems. • The pattern of new residential development will likely resemble traditional single - family neighborhood design (see Map 11 for neighborhood design). • A 50 -acre community park is planned for the corner of N.C. 10 and New Hope Church Rd. • While zoning densities may change within the planning area, no land use rezoning is anticipated (i.e., no rezoning of land from residential to commercial). Additional assumptions were made to achieve the goals of each design scenario: Scenario I: Build -Out at Highest Allowable Density • Existing zoning (one dwelling unit per acre) in the planning area will not be altered. . • The net density for new residential development in the planning area will be one dwelling unit per acre. Scenario II: Build -Out at Lesser Density • The net density of new residential development in the planning area will be the same as the current average net density for existing major subdivisions in Orange County (one dwelling unit per 1.85 acres). • The siting and density of new neighborhoods will account for natural constraints and take advantage of natural features for recreational and aesthetic purposes where practical. • The planning and design of new neighborhoods will take into account the existing character of nearby areas. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 15 Results The following table illustrates the two development scenarios anticipated under the conventional development design: Table 1: Conventional Development Scenarios 1 To calculate the total number of buildable dwelling units, Total Acreage is equal to the total undeveloped acreage in the planning area (1,999 acres) less 33 acres for an existing commercial area and 50 acres for a planned community park. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 16 Scenario I Scenario H Total Acreage' 1,916 acres 1,916 acres Adjusted Acreage less Infrastructure (15%) 1,629 acres 1,629 acres Net Density of Planning Area 1 dwelling unit / acre 1 dwelling unit / 1.85 acres Total Dwelling Units 1,629 units 879 units 1 To calculate the total number of buildable dwelling units, Total Acreage is equal to the total undeveloped acreage in the planning area (1,999 acres) less 33 acres for an existing commercial area and 50 acres for a planned community park. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 16 rta� a, rt t� � crcat �y, VA ,•4 / ® r ;`,1 � ,•ik' t f Ir -, on ,�4.4-g ® EMI'.. •.. 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Half of the open space in such a development is left in a natural state, while the other half can be used for more active recreation such as community greens, parks, or ballfields. Density - neutral subdivisions are often described as "golf course developments without the golf courses" (Arendt, 1994) . Density - neutral developments allow residents immediate access to open space and natural areas via tree lined sidewalks, trails, and greenways. The creation of formal greens and commons in which neighbors can socialize also facilitates a greater degree of social interaction than is typically found in a suburban neighborhood. Comparative studies show that property values in such subdivisions appreciate faster than in conventional subdivisions, even though the lots are typically smaller (Arendt, 1994a). In addition, density - neutral designs allow lots to be placed with more consideration for environmentally sensitive areas and other constraints. Thus, streams, trees, historic sites, habitats, and other amenities can be preserved for the enjoyment of the residents and for their intrinsic environmental resource value. For example, preserved natural areas provide wildlife habitat, allow higher groundwater recharge rates than conventional subdivisions (due to decreased impervious cover), and help reduce non -point water pollution by absorbing and filtering runoff from developed areas that would otherwise be discharged into nearby waterways. At the same time, lots can be sited away from land uses or activities that conflict with residential development such as major roads or industrial areas. A primary constraint to utilizing the density - neutral design approach in the Stoney Creek Basin relates to land ownership. Density - neutral design works best on larger parcels of land where greater flexibility is permitted in terms of siting of land uses. Many of the lots within the Basin, especially in the area along Old Highway 86, are small in size. Therefore, a process of lot consolidation or land compacts would have to be developed to allow small lots to be combined into larger developable areas. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 20 Density - Neutral Development Design Objectives • Preserve "primary conservation areas," including: - floodplains - wetlands - steep slopes. • Preserve 50 % of the remaining buildable land for open space. • . Protect "secondary conservation areas," including: - lowland hardwood forests - small tributaries - unsuitable soils for septic systems - historic areas • Provide every household views of natural open space. • Provide social and /or recreational open space within walking distance of each household. • . Provide vegetative buffers between neighborhoods. • Protect the character of the surrounding area. • Provide the same number of units on the site as permitted under current zoning regulations. ('This is where the term "density - neutral" is derived.) • Provide a range of housing types and densities. • Reduce engineering, construction, and maintenance costs by implementing environmental protection measures. • Consider a combination of sewage disposal and water supply alternatives based on the unique features of each neighborhood. • Carefully consider site topography in the siting of roads. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 21 Design Process The density - neutral development design for Stoney Creek Basin (see Map 12) is the result of a five -step process recommended by Randall Arendt and described in the following five subsections. Step 1: Perform a yield analysis The yield analysis involves calculating the total number of lots permitted by existing zoning. The number of units that would ordinarily be built on the site becomes the number to be accommodated in the density - neutral design (Arendt, 1994a). For Stoney Creek, the yield was calculated using 1.85 acres as the average lot size; this figure reflects the averageJot size of major subdivisions within the county. The following table illustrates the process for calculating the total number of lots that could be created within the Stoney Creek Basin using this average lot size: Table 2: Density Neutral Yield Analysis The yield analysis shows that 899 lots could be created within the Basin. The next four steps in the process involve development design. Step 2: Identify potential open space areas This step involves defining all open space to be preserved within the density - neutral development. First, primary conservation areas, or land that cannot be built on, is defined and mapped. In the Stoney Creek Basin, primary conservation areas consist of floodplains, steep slopes, and wetlands. These unbuildable areas, generally located along Stoney Creek, create a spine of open space through the central portion of the property. Next, secondary conservation areas, or land which contains 2 To calculate the total number of buildable dwelling units, Total Acreage is equal to the total undeveloped acreage in the planning area (1,999 acres) less 42 acres for a planned community park. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 22 Density - Neutral Design Total Acreage' 1,957 acres Adjusted Acreage less Infrastructure (15%) 1,664 acres Net Density of Planning Area 1 dwelling unit / 1.85 acres Total Dwelling Units 899 units The yield analysis shows that 899 lots could be created within the Basin. The next four steps in the process involve development design. Step 2: Identify potential open space areas This step involves defining all open space to be preserved within the density - neutral development. First, primary conservation areas, or land that cannot be built on, is defined and mapped. In the Stoney Creek Basin, primary conservation areas consist of floodplains, steep slopes, and wetlands. These unbuildable areas, generally located along Stoney Creek, create a spine of open space through the central portion of the property. Next, secondary conservation areas, or land which contains 2 To calculate the total number of buildable dwelling units, Total Acreage is equal to the total undeveloped acreage in the planning area (1,999 acres) less 42 acres for a planned community park. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 22 significant natural or cultural resources, is defined and mapped. In the Stoney Creek Basin, secondary conservation areas consist of hardwood forests, open meadows, historic sites, and soils unsuitable for septic tanks. Once primary and secondary conservation areas have been mapped, the areas most suitable for development become evident because of their lack of resource constraints. Step 3: Locate sites for residential uses Identifying potential house site locations entails maximizing the number of lots that will have views of or access to open space. No lots are placed in primary conservation areas and, to the extent possible, lots are placed around but not in the secondary conservation areas. An optimal design would give each house direct access to an open space, either in front or back. Easements located between lots, especially at the end of cul -de -sacs, are included to ensure maximum access to open space for all homes on a street. These design concepts are reflected in the density - neutral design for the Stoney Creek Basin. No development is proposed within primary conservation areas. An effort was made to minimize development within secondary conservation areas and the cultural resources within them - -such as historical sites -- around which the land use plan was designed. The number of lots located next to stream corridors, open meadows and wooded hilltops were maximized to provide views, access to open space, and access to environmental amenities. Easements at the end of cul -de -sacs were included to facilitate access to open space areas. The design also reflects an effort to design around adverse site features; setbacks from the railroad and Interstate 85 were maintained to reduce potential noise and safety conflicts. Lot sizes vary from approximately one - quarter to three - quarters of an acre. There are two primary reasons for variable lot size. First, smaller lots provide the flexibility needed to design around unique amenities and resources while maintaining the ability to meet density requirements. Second, variation in lot size enhances marketing potential by increasing the variety of available products at different prices. Step 4: Design roads and trails Once open space has been identified and potential house sites located, the fourth step involves determining the layout of street and trail systems. Road rights -of -way are largely dictated by the location of home sites and by the need to respect existing topography. The design of the road network consists largely of curvilinear streets and cul -de- sacs. This design approach allows maximum sensitivity to topographic features and Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 23 responds to the irregular layout of house sites created to take advantage of natural amenities and topography. Internal roadway design was complicated by the lack of existing access to major roadways throughout the Basin. A desire to minimize wetlands disruption caused by road construction, the inability to create road access across the railroad, and steep slopes in the northern part of the site were primary constraints that influenced internal roadway design. The proposed trail system was designed with three goals in mind; 1) to link the Stoney Creek corridor and other intermittent stream corridors to the rest of the site; 2) to connect areas of common open space to the stream corridors and other common open space; and 3) to ensure adequate access to the trail system from all home sites. Trail surfaces will vary depending on their intended use. A mixture of paved and unpaved surfaces are proposed: unpaved trails will be located primarily within the stream corridors and forested areas, while paved trails will predominate in high traffic areas such as common open spaces. Step 5: Draw lot lines The last step in this process simply involves drawing lot lines to delineate ownership. Because lots in density - neutral developments tend to be smaller than conventional subdivisions, lot lines can, as necessary, be drawn close to one side of the buildings (zero lot line setback) to provide larger, usable side yards on the other side of the building. In general, though lot sizes are small, each home is still provided with views and access to open space. This design feature effectively increases the "perceived" size of each lot (see Map 13 for neighborhood design). Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 24 Results The following chart summarizes the relationship between open space and developed area under the proposed design. The requirement that at least 50 % of the site be kept in open space has been met. Table 3: Open Space vs. Developed Area in Density- Neutral Design Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 25 Acreage Percentage Total Area in Open Space 1,171 acres 59 Primary Conservation Areas 302 acres - -- Secondary Conservation Areas and Other Open Space 869 acres - -- Total Developed Area 828 acres 41% Total Area Available for Planning 1,999 acres 100 % Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 25 r 1 Map 13: Density - Neutral Neighborhood Design ® - 100 Year Fioodpiain - Mixed and Conifer Forest - Deciduous Forest - Meadow Developed Area - Power Easement - Historical Site Lake Neo- Traditional Development Design Concept Interest in neo- traditional design has been growing in recent years as the negative effects of low- density sprawl are becoming more apparent in the form of traffic congestion, loss of open space, and social isolation. The primary aim of neo- traditional development is to. reproduce the strong feeling of community found in older, established neighborhoods (usually pre -World War II) by creating pedestrian- friendly, mixed -use environments. This goal can be accomplished by incorporating the following principles: • Reduced automobile dependency • Integration, not separation, of land uses • Inward neighborhood focus, not dispersal of destinations • Streets as focal points, not mere thoroughfares • Revival of social interaction and shared community vision • Flexible design guidelines, not rigid engineering standards Most neo - traditional developments have different design features from those found in conventional subdivisions. Examples of neo - traditional neighborhoods are Seaside, FL, Kentlands, MD, and Southern Village in Chapel Hill, NC. Some of the more prominent features of neo - traditional design are: • Street design - narrow, grid or modified grid patterns with tree -lined sidewalks • Parking - on- street, behind buildings, or in alleys, not in parking lots or in household garages facing streets • Open Space - neighborhood parks, public greens, and protected floodplains • Building setbacks - shallow or none • Commercial/Office areas - main street and neighborhood areas, not strip centers and malls • Land uses - mixed -uses, heterogeneous. Essentially an outgrowth of neo - traditional design, transit- oriented development attempts to - further reduce automobile dependency by creating a more urban, densely - populated environment which can support rail or other forms of public transportation. While most neo - traditional developments try to recreate small town America, transit - oriented design attempts to create a new suburban style of living. For example, neo - traditional developments have an average net density of 3 to 7 dwelling units (du) per acre, while - transit oriented developments Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 28 call for average net densities of 10 to 25 du to support transit. Advocates of this type of development include Peter Calthorpe, a California architect whose design standards have been applied in Laguna West, CA and Andres Duany and Elizabeth Plater - Zyberk, the designers of the neo- traditional towns Seaside, FL and Kentlands, MD. Applying the principles and design features of neo - traditional design results in a development pattern centered around a village core, featuring a vibrant mix of -shops and residences (see perspective p 36). Surrounding the core are residential neighborhoods with densities decreasing as distance from the core increases. The development design can accommodate a variety of single and multi - family options. Public gathering spaces, human- scaled streetscapes, and a reasonably consistent architectural theme will link neighborhoods throughout the development. This design group was directed by the Orange County Planning staff to generate a transit - oriented design focused on a potential Triangle Transit Authority (TTA) rail station. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 29 Neo- Traditional, Transit- Oriented Design Objectives • Locate development outside of Reduce dependence on automobiles by environmentally sensitive areas to providing for transportation protect the integrity of: alternatives, including: - floodplains - expanded bus service - wetlands - potential TTA rail service - wildlife habitat corridors - extensive pedestrian and bike paths. - the designated Rural Buffer. • Maximize public access to natural areas • Protect existing neighborhoods by: from all neighborhoods. - buffering existing and proposed neighborhoods Foster a sense of community by: - providing density transitions. - establishing a mixed -use village core - designing attractive streetscapes - linking neighborhoods visually and physically. • Emphasize topographical features by utilizing ridge tops as focal points. • Provide a variety of housing, including: - single- family homes - apartments above shops - multi - family dwellings. • Provide public amenities and services, _ including: - parks and greenways - public schools and day care - emergency services. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 30 Design Process The neo- traditional development design for Stoney Creek Basin is the result of a five -step process described in the following five subsections. Step 1: Determine the most suitable location for the village core. Using the maps generated in the land suitability analysis and site visits, the design team analyzed several potential village core locations. Sites were assessed based on proximity to the rail transit corridor defined by the Triangle Transit Authority (TTA) and proximity to existing main roads. Other criteria included contiguity of developable land, environmental constraints, and potential for water and sewer extensions. The site chosen is located in the north central portion of the planning area on a hillside of the Stoney Creek valley and adjacent to the Southern Railroad tracks. A civic area has been identified between the village core and NC 10 for a park and ride lot, regional park, and other institutional uses. Step 2: Identify other neighborhood sites. The suitability of neighborhood locations surrounding the village core is based upon proximity to the village core. Neighborhoods are centered around historically or topographically significant focal points (see Map 15) . Moderate - density neighborhoods are sited within 3/4 mile of the village core in order to support the proposed rail transit station and to provide an adequate market for the commercial uses in the village core (see Map 14). Step 3: Establish strong connections between focal points. To link the surrounding neighborhoods to the village core, and to enhance the sense of community within the village, strong visual and pedestrian connections are established. Connections are designed to take advantage of, and highlight, the existing topography (see perspective p 37) . Step 4: Develop independent pedestrian and auto networks. New road alignments are designed to provide access between neighborhoods and the village core, and to structure each neighborhood around its focal point. Existing alignments are preserved wherever feasible. Sidewalks and connecting greenways will be used as pedestrian and bicycle routes. Greenway path alternatives are _- identified by highlighting_ linear environmentally sensitive features and assessing__ their suitability as pedestrian linkages between neighborhoods and the village core. Duke Forest is considered as a potential link between the western parcels and the village core, creating a circular greenway system. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 31 Step 5: Define neighborhoods. Neighborhoods are designed to support the village core as well as to create distinctive characters within each area. Wherever possible, greenways are used to define neighborhoods. Each neighborhood is centered around a focal point, such as a hilltop or historic site. Specific design guidelines will be proposed for each neighborhood, in order to establish and maintain its unique character. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 32 Results The following table illustrates the development anticipated under the neo- traditional design scenario: Table 4: Neo- Traditional Design Development Projections Residential Density Dwelling Unit / acre Gross Acreage Net Acreage* Total Dwelling Units Low Density 1 800 600 600 Medium Density 7 370 278 1,946 Mixed Use 7 is 11 79 High Density 22 41 31 682 Total Residential 1,227 acres 920 acres 3,307 units Other Land Uses Commercial 10 Civic Areas 29 Transit Stop 1 Parks, Greenways and Utility Easement 731 Total Project Acreage 1,999 * Net acreage is the gross acreage adjusted 25 % to allow for roads, sidewalks, and alleys. 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It is followed by appendices that provide a detailed description of each of the impacts, how they were measured, relevant data, and proposed mitigation strategies. Each design is rated by the magnitude of the impact brought to bear on various resources. The ratings used are high, medium, and low. Additionally, the designs are ranked relative to each other. The resources considered by the study include natural and historic resources, including encroachment on Stoney Creek, wetlands, large forested areas, and wildlife habitats; the impact on water quality caused by impervious surface and density of development; the degree of alteration to the natural aesthetics of the site; and the impact on historic structures. Infrastructure concerns, such as extension of water and sewer supply and the demand placed on existing and future supply (including groundwater as a source of drinking water), were also considered as impacts. Also, the impacts brought by transportation improvements and effects on air quality are considered relative to each design scenario. Only Scenario II of the conventional design was analyzed because of the likelihood that new conventional development in the basin would resemble the conditions outlined in this scenario. The baseline data in Table 5 were used to compare the .three design scenarios. Impact Summary Narrative Conventional Design Impacts Conventional development has either a low impact or no impact with regard to water quality, water and sewer service extension, transportation improvements and resulting air quality, and the demand for new parks. It has a medium impact on wildlife habitat and natural character, provision of new school facilities, and the necessity to expand public safety services. Conventional development greatly impacts the historic structures of the area by failing to preserve either the structures or their surrounding contexts. (See the Impact Matrix Table 6.) Contributing to the advantages of conventional development, the large lot sizes reduce amounts of impervious surface, mitigating some of the detrimental effects of stormwater runoff and non -point source pollution. Water and sewer service extensions from Hillsborough are not currently planned for most of the Stoney Creek basin area, thus making site specific septic disposal and water supply (wells) necessary. However, on -site systems may be impractical Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 38 given the poor soil percolation of some parts of the area. Also, conventional development could potentially cover wellhead protection areas vital for groundwater recharge. Conventional development has the lowest impact on transportation improvements, only requiring traffic signals on two intersections. Although the community park proposed by Orange County will be adequate to serve the entire planning area, conventional development will likely not provide needed neighborhood parks. The conventional design has a greater impact on native wildlife habitat. The dispersed nature of conventional development threatens fauna that need deep forest environments. This natural environment can be partially, but not fully, replaced through plantings required by the Orange County Subdivision Ordinance. This design will also place pressure on New Hope Elementary School District and could require new elementary and middle school facilities. The planning area lies within the Eno and New Hope Volunteer Fire Department service radii, and is covered by Orange County Emergency Medical Service. Small increases in personnel may be warrented; response times should not increase significantly. This design will have a small positive fiscal impact. Density- Neutral Design Impacts The density - neutral design option has either low or no impacts on water quality, wildlife habitat and natural character, water and sewer service, supply, and disposal, transportation and air quality, and the demand for parks. It has a medium impact on sedimentation during construction, pressure on school facilities, and public safety resources. The density - neutral option has no high impacts. Density - neutral development is more concentrated than conventional design, making erosion control and sedimentation during construction more problematic. This design option allows for a larger buffer along Stoney Creek and provides an abundance of open space throughout the planning area. This will help offset the greater concentration of lots, and therefore impervious surfaces, near the creek. The concentrated nature of this development also has the benefit of preserving significant stands of hardwood trees and wetland buffers, taking advantage of the natural amenities. Each home has an immediate view of either forest land or meadows and easy access to recreational open space. Water and sewer extensions are possible to some residential clusters and may be desirable since there is poor soil percolation for septic systems in some areas. This design will require new elementary and high school facilities. Impacts on transportation and air quality, demand for new parks, and public safety resources are the same as for conventional development. This design has a small positive fiscal impact. Neo- Traditional/Transit- Oriented Design Impacts The neo- traditional design is the most intense of the three scenarios, with 75 % more dwellings and an additional one million square feet of non - residential development. Due to its larger Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 39 population and higher density, the neo- traditional design creates high impacts on virtually all elements except groundwater quality, septic disposal, air quality, and parks, where the impacts are low. There is a medium impact on transportation. Building more houses and businesses adds larger areas of impervious surface with high rates of stormwater runoff and increased pollutant loads into Stoney Creek. Construction of the village core and surrounding high density development will require a great deal of land disturbance and threats of sedimentation to the water courses. The village core will also require the most extensive transportation improvements with new traffic signals on three intersections and additional turn lanes at the intersections of NC 86 with both New Hope Church Rd. and NC 10. Water and sewer service extensions from Hillsborough are necessary. These infrastructure extensions would require about 33 % of the current sewage treatment capacity and about 40% of the future water supply of Hillsborough. The additional population also creates the need for new elementary, middle and high school facilities, additional neighborhood and pocket parks, and an increase in public safety resources in the form of a public safety center and additional police. Increased human presence displaces much of the wildlife. However, the design does leave the wildlife corridor and floodplain intact. The design takes advantage of the natural topography by using ridge tops as focal points and highlighting the good views. Historic structures are integrated into the design and recommended for restoration. This design scenario has a substantial positive fiscal impact. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 40 Table 5: Baseline Data - Proposed Development Scenarios 3 Available acres, conventional development, equals total undeveloped acreage less 33 acres of an existing commercial area and 50 acres for a planned community park. 4 Available acres, density- neutral development, equals total undeveloped acreage less 42 acres for a planned community park. 5 Available acres, neo- traditional development, equals total undeveloped acreage 6 Neo- traditional development reserves more land for infrastructure because of the dense nature of the design; urbanized land requires a higher percentage of land be given over to infrastructure. 7 Household size; in people per household, represents an estinate based on current household sizes within the townships in which planning area is located. 8 Based on 0.43 children per household. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 41 Conventional Density - Neutral Neo-Traditional Available Acres 1,9163 1,9574 1,9995 Infrastructure 15% 15% 25 %6 Dwelling Units (du) 879 899 31307 Average Density 1 du/1.85 acre 1 du /1.85 acre 1 du/.28 acre Household Size' 2.4 2.4 2.4 Population 2,110 2,158 7,937 Children' 378 387 1,422 Land Use: Residential all single family all single family mix of single family and multi - family Commercial none none 350,000 sq ft office 650,000 sq ft retail 29 acres civic Open Space limited preservation extensive preservation some preservation 3 Available acres, conventional development, equals total undeveloped acreage less 33 acres of an existing commercial area and 50 acres for a planned community park. 4 Available acres, density- neutral development, equals total undeveloped acreage less 42 acres for a planned community park. 5 Available acres, neo- traditional development, equals total undeveloped acreage 6 Neo- traditional development reserves more land for infrastructure because of the dense nature of the design; urbanized land requires a higher percentage of land be given over to infrastructure. 7 Household size; in people per household, represents an estinate based on current household sizes within the townships in which planning area is located. 8 Based on 0.43 children per household. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 41 Table 6: Summary of Impacts Impact Area Conventional Density - Neutral Neo-Traditional Water Quality Stormwater Runoff LOW LOW HIGH Larger lots will help minimize Abundant open space will help High development density and effects of increased minimize effects of increased significant impervious surfaces, stormwater runoff into Stoney stormwater runoff into Stoney especially near Stoney Creek, Creek. Creek. will require costly mitigation to control increased runoff. Non -point Source LOW LOW HIGH Pollution Larger lots may filter Abundant open space and large Greatly increased human activity pollutants, but may be a buffers along Stoney Creek will in Village Core, just north of problem if yards are grassed help filter pollutants. Stoney Creek, will significantly (fertilizer may wash into increase pollutant levels. creek). reserves. Sedimentation LOW MEDIUM HIGH Low- density development will Clustered development will Construction of Village Core and spread out construction of make control of erosion during high- density residential will houses, allowing greater construction more difficult. require grading of steep slopes, chance of controlling erosion which could cause significant on construction sites. erosion and probable sedimentation into Stoney Creek. Historic Resources HIGH MEDIUM LOW Low- density development will Historic resources will not be This design uses the historic fail to preserve historic highlighted, but will be structures and the surroundings structures or their preserved as much as possible. as focal points which necessitates surroundings. preservation and restoration. Wildlife Habitat MEDIUM LOW HIGH Expansive development Development will allow for Wildlife corridor will be left throughout site invades abundant and continuous open intact but extensive use of land - wetlands and forest wildlife spaces, including hardwood and high density of human habitat. forests, but will take away some presence will significantly affect deep forestland and habitat wildlife habitat. edges. Natural Character MEDIUM LOW HIGH Design does not take While this development will hold The design maximizes the site's advantage of natural character about the same number of homes natural topography, but the - of the site. However, the as the conventional development, extensive use of land will greatly large lots will allow the design takes advantage of the alter the natural character of site. preservation of many of trees natural amenities on the site, in the area. including viewsheds, meadows, and forests. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 42 Table 6 (continued): Summary of Impacts Impact Area Conventional Density - Neutral Neo- Traditional Water and Sewer Water Service LOW MEDIUM HIGH Given low density, water lines If necessary water lines could be Infrastructure can be extended. will not be extended from extended to cluster Demand would be about 40% of Hillsborough, necessitating the developments. Hillsborough has Hillsborough's future supply use of individual wells. adequate supply. Demand of capacity. Demand of 1,118,775 292,175 gpd. gpd. Groundwater MEDIUM MEDIUM LOW (as a source of Good supply is probable. Good supply is probable. May Groundwater is not a viable drinking water) May be adequate as primary be adequate as primary source, option. Must be provided with source, but on -site testing but on -site testing required. If water service. required. If not, water service not, water service may be may be required. required. Sewer Service NO IMPACT LOW HIGH Infrastructure cannot be Infrastructure can be extended to Infrastructure can be extended. extended and individual septic some clusters and treatment Would require about 33 % of disposal systems must be used. capacity is available. Effluent Hillsborough's current treatment generation of about 262,957 gpd. capacity. Effluent generation of about 906,200 gpd. Septic Disposal LOW LOW MEDIUM Septic disposal should be a Individual septic disposal Septic disposal is not a viable viable option provided that lot systems will not be permitted on option for higher intensity uses, sizes are modified to ensure lots smaller than 3/4 acre. but may be viable for areas that adequate drain field areas Easements attached to each lot designed for low density exist on each. smaller than 3/4 acre and located residential development. within common open space can be established to ensure adequate drain field area for individual systems. Conuuunity septic systems are also a viable disposal option. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 43 Table 6 (continued) : Summary of Impacts Impact Area Conventional Density - Neutral Impact Area Transportation LOW LOW MEDIUM Intersections at N.C. 86 & Intersections at N.C. 86 & New Intersections at N.C. 86 & New New Hope Church Road and Hope Church Road and N.C. 86 Hope Church Road and N.C. 86 N.C. 86 & N.C. 10 will & N.C. 10 will require traffic & N.C. 10 will require traffic require traffic signals. signals. Intersection at N.C. 10 signals and additional turning Intersection at N.C. 10 & New & New Hope Church Road will lanes. Intersection at N.C. 10 & Hope Church Road will not not require improvements. New Hope Church Road will require improvements. require a traffic signal only. Air Quality LOW LOW LOW Carbon monoxide Carbon monoxide concentrations Carbon monoxide concentrations concentrations will be well will be well below EPA will be well below EPA below EPA standards. standards. standards. Schools MEDIUM MEDIUM HIGH The elementary schools will Additional elementary and high Additional elementary, middle exceed capacity by 117 school facilities will be required. and high school facilities will be students, and the high school Elementary schools will exceed required. Elementary schools will will exceed capacity by 89 capacity by 121 students, and the exceed capacity by 637 students, students. The middle schools high school will exceed capacity middle schools will exceed will remain 48 students under by 92 students. The middle capacity by 194 students, and the capacity. schools will remain 46 students high school will exceed capacity under capacity. by 371 students. New Hope elementary school Again, the New Hope Again, the New Hope elementary district, which comprises most elementary school district will be school district will be most of the planning area, will be most heavily impacted. heavily impacted. most heavily impacted. Adjusting district lines may ease some of the burden. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 44 Table 6 (continued): Summary of Impacts Impact Area IPublic Safety Police/Fire/Rescue I Parks IRevenue/Fiscal Residential Non - Residential Conventional MEDIUM Moderate increases in police personnel needed in order to maintain current levels of service: 7 (annexation by Hillsborough) or 4 (Orange County jurisdiction). Planning Area lies within Eno and New Hope Volunteer Fire Department service radii, and is covered by Orange County Emergency Medical Service (EMS). Small increases in personnel may be warranted; response times should not increase significantly. LOW Demand for parks is low. One community park will be provided, but no neighborhood parks will be created. POSITIVE Minimal increase in County and School District employees (2 %). Annual net fiscal surplus of $180,700. POSITIVE Annual net fiscal surplus of $400,000. Density - Neutral MEDIUM Moderate increases in police personnel needed in order to maintain current levels of service: 7 (annexation by Hillsborough) or 4 (Orange County jurisdiction). Planning Area lies within Eno and New Hope Volunteer Fire Department service radii, and is covered by Orange County EMS. Small increases in personnel may be warranted; response times should not increase significantly. LOW Demand for parks is low. One community park will be provided. No neighborhood park is provided, but this demand will be met by available open space. POSITIVE Minimal increase in County and School District employees (2 %). Annual net fiscal surplus of $176,400. N/A No proposed non - residential development Neo- Traditional HIGH Large population increases and concentrations warrant the construction of a new public safety center near the Village Core area. The center should combine locally - oriented police, fire and rescue personnel trained to serve the new "downtown" area. In order to maintain current levels of police protection, 25 new officers would be needed (Hillsborough annexation) or 16 new officers if Orange County retains jurisdiction. LOW Demand for new parks is high. The demand will be met by provision of one community park, three neighborhood parks, and several pocket parks. POSITIVE Large increase in County and School District employees (8 Annual net fiscal surplus of $831,700. POSITIVE Total retail/office development net annual fiscal surplus of over $2,500,000. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 45 Conclusions The Stoney Creek Basin is an area under significant growth pressure, due to its appealing rural character and convenient access to Durham, Chapel Hill, and the Research Triangle Park. The small area planning process is an attempt to shape this growth in a manner that is sensible and responsive to the needs of residents and landowners in the area. Following the charge of the Orange County Board of Commissioners, the Planning Applications 223 class of the Department of City and Regional Planning at the University of North Carolina prepared three alternative land use designs to assist the Stoney Creek Basin Planning Group in developing a small area plan. The outcomes revealed what the basin might look like under conventional design patterns and also presented two recent design concepts in planning that are both innovative and forward - looking. One of these concepts, density - neutral design, is based on the idea of designing for both development and conservation; while the other concept, neo- traditional design, is centered on the premise that a return to traditional town planning principles is a prudent alternative to sprawl development. These designs and their impacts were presented to the planning group at two meetings at New Hope Elementary School in April, 1995. The three alternative designs presented in this report do not represent mutually exclusive outcomes. Components of each design could be modified and combined to form the basis of a successful plan. For instance, a neo - traditional development does not have to be transit - oriented. The neo - traditional development presented in this report is centered around a regional rail transit station, proposed by the Triangle Transit Authority. High densities are required to support a rail transit station. A composite plan, however, may contain a neo - traditional development with much lower densities than those needed to support rail transit. An example of such a development is Southern Village in southern Chapel Hill. Southern Village consists of about thirteen hundred homes and a village core with shopping and offices, on approximately 300 acres of land. Thus, a composite plan might include neo - traditional development, which may or may not be centered around a transit stop. The same plan could incorporate the density - neutral concept by including several open -space neighborhoods. Moreover, conventional neighborhood design may be appropriate for other areas of the basin. It is also important to note that the impacts presented in this report are based on projected outcomes for conceptual designs.. More specific impact assessments will depend on the actual development pattern of the basin and the site - specific layout of that development. The contribution of this class concludes Phase I of the planning. process for the Stoney Creek Basin Small Area Plan. This report will serve as a foundation for Phase II in which the Planning Group will consider these alternatives, together with two additional designs from the Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 46 Orange County Planning Department, and review the positive and negative aspects of each design towards the goal of developing a composite plan. We hope that this report will provide a sound basis for developing a high - quality small area plan for the Stoney Creek Basin. Stoney Creek Basin Area Plan, 47 Bibliography Arendt, Randall. 1993. Designing_ODen STaoe Develenments in Sussex Count`: A Pra .tiral Handbook for Those Tnvolved in T.and Dev .lopment_ Delaware: Sussex Conservation District. Trust, Inc. 1994x. Designing finning Oran Space Subdivisions_ Media, PA: Natural Lands 1994b. Rural RV Design- Chicago: American Planning Association. Calthorpe, Peter. 1993. 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