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HomeMy WebLinkAboutAgenda - 03-27-2000 - 4ORANGE COUNTY BOARD OF COMMISSIONERS ACTION AGENDA ITEM ABSTRACT Meeting Date: March 27, 2000 Action Agenda Item No. 4 SUBJECT: County/OCS/CHCCS Informational Reports DEPARTMENT: OCS/CHCCS PUBLIC HEARING: (Y/N) No ATTACHMENT(S): As listed in "Background" INFORMATION CONTACT: Craig Benedict, ext 2592 Neil Pedersen, 967-8211 TELEPHONE NUMBERS: Hillsborough 732-8181 Chapel Hill 968-4501 Durham 688-7331 Mebane 336-227-2031 PURPOSE: To receive reports from staff /elected officials regarding several school related issues. BACKGROUND: This portion of the meeting provides an opportunity for the three elected boards to receive updates on the topics noted below, and to identify any other topics that staffs may need to research and- bring back as the subject of subsequent reports. a) Timetable for Student Generation Rate Study The Board of County Commissioners adopted three goals (Public Schools Impact Fees, Adequate Public Facilities, and Analysis of Impacts of Growth) in June 1999 that address the need to conduct studies on student generation rates and impact fees.. Existing analysis on both issues was originally conducted in 1994 and 1995 and in recent years the need to reverify and/or update previous findings has surfaced. There are various figures informally estimated for student generation rates in the two districts as well as a request from the Orange County Board of Commissioners that the BOCC consider an increase in the school impact fee in the Orange County School District. The multifamily apartment association has requested an investigation of student generation differences by housing type and differentiated impact fees by housing type that might be justifiable, depending on the results of the study. The basis for changes to an existing program of impact fees requires an objective, professional and legally defensible report. County staff have disseminated a request for proposals to a number of firms with experience in conducting similar public sector impact fee analysis. Staff plan to bring a recommendation regarding an agreement with the best qualified firm to carry out this study for BOCC approval in April. Once the agreement has been approved, the firm would complete work within 90 days, along the schedule laid out in the chart at Attachment 4a. Any proposed changes to the impact fee structure that might result from the conclusions of that study would likely be scheduled for the quarterly public hearing on August 28, 2000. Attachment 4a -Chart: "Proposal for Student generation rate and Public School Impact Fee Studies" 2 b) Trends in Student Population Commissioners have expressed an interest in receiving an update on trends in the growth in student population. The tables at Attachment 4b-1 reflect the most recent 10 year student projections we have available from the State Department of Public Instruction. Since these figures are more than a year old, CHCCS has recently refined the figures and has prepared the table and chart at Attachment 4b-2. Attachment 4b - 1 - "Final ADM Projection" Attachment 4b - 2 - "Projected Capacity and Enrollment -Ten Year Projections" FINANCIAL IMPACT: There is no financial impact tied directly to the review/discussion at this meeting of these reports. However, any discussion is likely to influence future school operating and capital budgets. RECOMMENDATION(S): The Manager recommends that the boards receive the reports for information only. Orange County, North Carolina Proposal for Student Generation Rate and Public School Impact Fee_ Studies Time Chart Month 1 Month 2 Month 3 Student Generation Rate Task 1. ptscuss and A tee on Initial Publ'x School Student Generation Rate Methodolo Task 2. ConducUn Survey Task 3. Preparation of Public School Student . Generation Rate Reports !m act Fee Task 1. Assess o1 Current Development lm ad ' Fee P tarn Task 2. Ascertain Level of Service for Each School Olslrict Task 3. Review C its! Needs and Costs and Allocate to Growth Task 4. Calculate 'Credits' to be A plied Against Ca its! COSt9 . Task 5. Conduct Fundin Soun±e and Cash Flow Ana ses Task 6. Com lets Development Irnpacl Fee Melhodolo and Calculation Task 7. Pre station of Public School Impact Fee Re rts Task B. Meetings/Presentations Task 9. Provide Impact Fee Automated . Spreadsheet-Based Models a rt rr w S rD n p W - - -~ - - - - -~ - -- - - - - - . FI1fAL_ AOII.J!ROJEI7.LOeL... .--- - ~ - - --~ - ~IIGE+ it tEA ~ d81 Cltsnel Hill-CaN-rbvro H TO R 01~ TO •1 O1 TO OZ 02 TO 43 03 TO 04 04 TO 05 05 TG 06 O6 TO 07 OT 70 08 0 1993-1494 0 537 3 Y -- ~ 0 TO 09 ~ w - 09 TO IO -- 10 TO 11 11 TO 12 Il44-1995 . 0.514 1_12 1.065 1.050 1.007 1.006 I~036 1.062 1.040 1.030 1 031 1.032 1 071 1.OZ; 1 i 024 1.120 O,sg7- ~-O.g4,q~ ~0.952 1995-1446 1996-I997 0.500 0.519 1.OS2 1 094 I_o14 1 04x 0.9x7 0.9x9 . 1.023 . 1.043 .K 1 I.044 1.060 1.020 1.142 1 113 0.831 O abl D.940 0 0.921 1997-199a 0.400 . . 1.040 1.009 1.022 1.003 1.029 1.031 . 1.054 . 0.x94 .946 0.960 1.008 1 875 AYERACE 9.513 ].114 1.041 1.041 1.031 1.03# 1.051 1.035 1 010 1 101 0 . . . .125 0.937 p.xK PEAR BIRTHS SCMOOI-YEAR R6 i 2 FINAL AVERAGE DAItY 1'EliHDtSHIP `--- 1900 1919 ---- - 2133 1166 --------- 1993-1944 1944-1995 - i0a 54! - _ i02---6I4 3 3 4 __ r574 559 3 6 __ ____ 542 572 7 8 ____ _ _ 572- -350 9 __ r 593 Y 10 496 I1 433 12 33x T - - OTAL 1990 1911 1144 1995-1446 575 6x 632 63E baE 623 613 b35 648 376 611 634 6I7 3E6 5x6 648 6I5 592 46E 432 7I33 75x9 1992 117! 1158 1996-1497 1497-1490 ~ 6Da 556 6D5 647 665 634 674 64x 663 b63 621 647 bbl 564 44I 515 576 472 4E7 431 476 Tall x049 673 6E5 662 665 680 567 697 61i .553 426 x131 PROJECTED FINAL AUERkS~E HYtIIY NEfi93ERSHIP 1143 1994 1L30 1119 1941-1944 1991-200• 530 575 bl9 i92 646 644 660 694 720 680 71I 696 720 iaa `x7 735 645 579 490 E476 1995 19li 1150 1112 2001-2001 2001-2002 591 571 640 672 6 670 742 74a 706 757 720 695 774 727 756 765 679 i00 604 637 313 535 x702 19'!7 194E 1125 2002-2003 S7a 5E 666 636 5x4 700 692 6!3 721 771 742 71a 810 7x4 7x2 76a 801 70x 636 564 8411 9093 199! 111! 1114 2003-2004 20x4-2005 575 572 d43 662 640 669 712 714 iaa 749 7'34 792 x39 776 abl x72 741 796 664 695 5i1 5x8 924b 9374 2000 2001 130x 3202 2005-2006 2006-2007 569 566 537 666 734 697 710 742 Tai 762 7x0 7x1 x47 8I5 Taa s54 !33 a!i 790 746 756 615 66 94x3 , 2002 1017 2007-ZOOa 363 634 663 630 659 693 718 690 714 737 x01 745 775 807 x23 x xis s63 741 1 670 3563 95x3 24 al5 406 a!3 009 656 95gg SClIO01 YE#R 6R. K-3 IiR. 4-6 GR. 7-0 qt. IC-3 6R.9-12 OR.iC-1Z OANALYSISYrt~ 1993-1944 1994-1995 248E 2537 17?3 1x02 1122 1172 5253 180 0 7 9 1945-1l4i 19'96-1947 2556 2539 1844 1 1264 5511 5724 1993 24E7 50 7x11 241 163 376 302 1997-19la 252E 972 2012 I30a 1347 5119 5aa7 27.30 x049 177 23a 2294 slat x0 132 199x-1999 2551 2101 214E 1375 1415 6027 b14a 2449 E476 154 295 2000-20!1 2001-2q2 2573 2544 2206 2204 1501 f28! 2553 2637 8702 x917 77 216 2002-2003 2003-2004 259E 2249 2565 1560 i363 6349 2'729 2E46 9241 2004-2005 2592 2570 2237 2263 1i14 1621 6423 6460 2950 4374 i3 153 2003-2006 2006-2007 2568 2555 2251 2256 1603 6423 3022 3140 44E3 9513 -Ii -46 1~9 x0 2007-200a 2542 2235 1130 3641 5441 6421 3141 3174 95x3 -95 20 9595 -106 13 ~r m z v +~ a rr W ~D p rt N ~, FIpAL AOM PROJECTION PAGE: 80 lEA~ #ao Orawg~ Cannty a 3 TO [ 0[ TO Dl O1 TO 02 02 TO 03 03 TO 04 04 70 OS f5 TO O~i O6 TO 07 O7 TO Oi D8 TO 09 09 TO 10 f0 70 1 1 31 TO 12 1993-1994 0.398 1.047 0.977 ° 1.024 1.006 0.986 N0.993 I.02i -0.974 ~ 1.I33 ._ O.s2i6~w0.79b ~ 0.847 149x14 6 0.438 1. asl 2.037 1.065 1.077 1.018 1.064 1 063 0 988 1 185 0 779 0 • 1944-1497 1947-1998 0.452 1.066 0.493 0.412 1.002 . 0.442 1.032 . 1.020 1.012 . 0.995 . 1.2D5 . 0.774 0 .806 .733 1.020 1.050 AVERAGE 0.410 1.081 0.970 1.024 0.937 1.031 0.995 1.010 0.970 1.218 0.803 0 .761 1,014 • BAR •IRTNS SCHOO! YEAR [G 1 2 FIJrAL AVERAGE DAILY NEilOERSHIP 3 -- 4 S # 7 8 9 10 11 12 T OTAL • 1988 1984 1133 1493-1994 116# 1994-1493 451 496 w 4i3 441 47x 47 ~463 433 X407 423 454r 420 #65 324 7 310 28f ~ 5354 n 199f 1149 1995-1996 503 2 304 456 434 469 46# 427 404 443 454 422 435 44x2 414 444 476 530 384 372 258 301 278 253 5464 5561 f 1942 1158 1947-1998 977 564 543 0 . ;~ . ; 529 453 521 4#2 #89 3b 407 305 314 3943 m PRO.IECiED FI#fAL AyERA~GE DYIILY !1@I•ERSNiP m a ~ 1493 1944 1130 1990-1949 1119 1999-2000 463 459 909 547 4 559 522 467 SI9 467 474 531 345 3I2 309 6075 a N 1445 1996 1150 2000-20.1 472 95 494 490 4i80 563 509 552 539 4165 556 369 S36 524' 453 470 508 378 552 426 463 302 326 316 307 #16# 6238 ~ ! 1997 1112 2001-2012 1173 2002-2003 45b 461 504 475 487 489 474 4a9 S02 574 566 488 518 573 542 456 57 6i9 442 355 331 6316 1418 1999 1124 2003x2004 1114 #54 493 #72 503 #i3 503 516 2 526 577 555 555 i40 496 445 339 380 360 343 6351 #370 2000 2004 2003 1108 xs05-2001 457 454 490 #78 408 4x76 486 492 497 448 501 480 512 321 560 677 513 341 385 1404 • 2001 2002 1102 2006-2007 1047 452 485 473 490 49b 486 495 510 506 505 501 441 682 616 542 5i6 393 4i5 346 374 6372 6354 2007 2008 450 .4183 471 487 483 50I 493 515 486 598 493 418 42I 6300 R SCH00!-YEAR 6R . K-3 SR. 4-6 GR, 7-8 GR. K-8 O~R.9-12 GR.K-12 **~~~AMALYSIS** 1993-1994 3994-1945 1838 1844 1263 1297 87i 877 3975 1379 5354 D 0 1495-1996 1937 1311 858 40b8 4106 1396 1455 5464 5561 236 225 li0 9? `~ 1946-1997 1417-1998 2083 2113 1441 1436 847 4373 1545 5918 276 357 925 4474 15I9 5493 17D 7S n. R 1998-1499 1949-2000 2079 2011 1508 1556 941 4520 1547 6f75 149 82 2000-2001 1951 1661 977 978 4544 4590 1622 1b48 5166 6238 149 155 90 72 ~ ~ 2001-2002 2002-2003 1924 1926 1642 1577 448 1098 4569 1747 6316 149 78 , 2003-2004 1927 1502 1132 4601 4561 1750 1809 b3SI 1370 131 99 35 14 w 2004-2005 2005--ZOOL 1911 I9i0 1441 14ii 1081 lbl2 4481 T 1916 #404 113 33 r ~ 2$06-2007 1900 1491 !42 4 i10 4383 1962 197# 1372 6359 59 106 -31 -13 = w 2007-2008 1841 1477 1001 4369 1931 b30f 51 -59 U 2 O ' .. ... _. Q _... .. E Q' O ~ 2 ti E O OC LL ~ FIIIAt ADM PROJECTION ~~~~: al Projected Capacity and Enrollment Ten Ysar Projections Elementary 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 C.~pty 4203 4203 ~ 4203. 4203 Enrollment 4187 4291 4331 4333 Middle 1999-00 2000-01 2001.02 2002.03 eapelcity 2108 2108. 7808 2808 Enrdlrnent 2189 7289 2395 2488 High 1899-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 9025 . 3435 3035 : .3Q35 Enrollment 2637 2801 2884 2968 Total 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 Total Caps3iccitY 93±48 9346 10048: -1.0048 . Total Enrollment 8993 9381 9590 9785 Hlgh l~wt~d t] Capacity O Enrollment 3500 3300 3100 2900 2700 ~. : 2500 , - - - Mj/1fl W ~k . OO 21 t s ,~ Y 1900 1700 1500 a rt rr w ~o p rt N 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 420.3 4203. 4203 4203 _. 4203 4203 4361 4384 4358 4371 4374 4375 2003-04 2004-05 2005-08 2006-07 2007-08 2008.09 2806 2808 : 2809. 2808. :. ,2808: .:2808 2497 2518 2548 2569 2584 2558 2003-04 200405 2005.08 2008-07 2007-08 2008-09 3035: : ;3035. ..:.3035.. . `...;3035: .., . ;3035. . 3035 3084 3194 3233 3282 3318 3362 2003-04 2004-05 2005-08 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 10045 ~ 10048.; ;10046.. :. 1:0048,,, . .:10046. ... ; :1b0:48 9842 10098 10135 10212 10274 10285 ~.+.